Theres been talk of a big budget Trea Turner Jersey , but so much of it is all tied solely to 2019."WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Farmers onlyFeaturesPlayoffsHistory/Hall of FamePeer into the FutureHot StoveCincinnati Reds RumorsWill a record Cincinnati Reds payroll extend beyond the 2019 season?New,120commentsTheres been talk of a big budget, but so much of it is all tied solely to 2019.The Enquirers John Fay. Those two numbers would suggest that the Reds could have as much as some $30 million left to spend in this particular offseason, which is enough for the 2019 payroll to even accommodate the lone free agent to whom theyve been specifically connected who is expected to land a long-term deal - Dallas Keuchel.The thing that continues to be in the spotlight for me, I think, is the precise definition of record payroll that the ownership and front office continue to reference. For exercise, lets just create a fantasy world for this Reds offseason that at least connects many of the dots weve seen outlined in speculation above. Say they manage to land Sonny Gray from the Yankees and do so in a deal similar to the Roark acquisition, meaning they dont really move established payroll to do so. Gray is estimated to earn $9.1 million in 2019, his final year of team control, and his addition to the active roster less a league-minimum salary player whod otherwise be in that spot would raise the 2019 payroll to right around ~$112 million. Then, if the Reds signed Keuchel for the estimated 4 year, $82 million deal suggested by MLBTR, their 2019 record payroll would land at some $132.5 million, or right about where the estimated money bump has been speculated to end up after all.That would cobble together a 2019 Reds team that would, on paper, be significantly improved from their string of last place finishes in the NL Central. A starting rotation of Keuchel, Gray, Luis Castillo, Roark, and Anthony DeSclafani (or Tyler Mahle) sounds pretty cromulent http://www.nationalsfanproshop.com/authentic-matt-adams-jersey , the bullpen would return as a strength, and top prospect Nick Senzel would get free reign in CF in the wake of Billy Hamiltons non-tender. Theres even a slight chance that club tops the .500 mark, challenges for a Wild Card, and maybe even sneaks into a late-season division run. However, despite that multitude of would-be additions, its still likely that the powerful Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals (with Paul Goldschmidt) still end up better teams than those fantasy 2019 Reds, and thats the point where this entire article is focused.Yes, it is nice to see veteran additions to the current Reds. Yes, Roark, Gray, Keuchel, etc. would put a few more butts in seats in 2019, as would a full-time opening for Senzel for us to dream on. It would make for a record payroll, to which pundits could point and reference and cite as the Reds legitimately trying. But if spending that extra $30 million neither gets them to the postseason in 2019 nor brings in a bevy of established players beyond 2019, it pretty much leaves them right back in the same position in October 2019 where they are currently. That brings me to the projected 2020 payroll of the Reds in that particular fantasy scenario, and whether the claims of creating a record payroll are merely referencing a 2019 burst or something the club intends to make sustainable. 10 months from now, Roarks $9.8 million and Grays $9.1 million come off the books in this scenario, as do the significant amounts currently due to Homer Bailey ($28 million, including the $5 million option buyout), Scooter Gennett ($10.7 million) Joe Blanton Jersey , and David Hernandez ($2.5 million). Jared Hughes, too, could leave, but well assume his $3 million 2020 option is picked up (since so far it appears to be a great bargain). And since the Reds proactively locked up Iglesias, Tucker Barnhart, and Eugenio Suarez to savvy extensions, we know that trios collective salary only increases by a total of $6.25 million in 2020 over what they were set to make in 2019.Well also assume continued production and tendered contracts to arbitration eligible players like DeSclafani (~$4.5 million for 2020), Michael Lorenzen (~$3 million), Scott Schebler (~$2.7 million, Jose Peraza (~$6 million), Curt Casali (~$1.5 million), and Wandy Peralta (~$1 million) - and estimated raises that come with such things. That core, along with Joey Votto, Keuchel, and remaining active roster spots made up of league-minimum guys (a la Castillo, Senzel, Mahle, etc.) only brings the total committed payroll for the 2020 Reds to around $97 million. In other words, if the record payroll concept is one that the Reds are trying to stick to for a sustainable run to get them out of the doldrums of the rebuild and isnt just a one-year thing for the 2019 season, the Reds would stand to have in the range of $30-35 million to spend again this time next year when such new http://www.nationalsfanproshop.com/authentic-matt-adams-jersey , prominent free agents like Madison Bumgarner and Gerrit Cole will be on the open market. And, thats the case even if the fantasy 2020 Reds we put together isnt precisely a one-for-one with what actually happens, since a similar story would ring true even if the Reds managed to dump Homer and a prospect to the Dodgers for Kemp and Wood, for instance - all would come off the payroll at the end of the 2019 season in that scenario, too.There have been a few rumors connected to players the Reds would control beyond the 2019 season - Marcus Stroman and J.T. Realmuto being the ones most often cited - but even those two only come with team control through the 2020 season, and adding their expected salaries to that 2020 total above would still leave room again for significant additions again this time next year, too.The Reds have an army of really, really smart folks in their front office, which leads me to believe this is all quite calculated. Add pieces for the 2019 season that make the team better for now, and be willing to soak up some short-term salary to do so. Add a big fish piece (like Keuchel) if you can manage it, but dont sign long-term pieces with huge committed dollar amounts if they arent the right fit. Expect improvement in 2019 with those moves, but know youve got a pile of reserves again this time in a year to continue to address issues, and use that reserve pool to give another year of hopeful improvement to the likes of Mahle, Senzel, Castillo, and the young core around whom they are still intending to build. Maybe thatll need to be relief pitching. Maybe itll need to be a CF if Senzel takes over at 2B. Maybe, just maybe, its in extensions to one or two of the players only under contract for 2019. It could be any, none, or all of those things http://www.nationalsfanproshop.com/authentic-matt-adams-jersey , but the Reds wont already be on the hook for it right now - and theyll have another year to determine where it should be best spent.Thatll lead to a record 2019 payroll one way or another. It might well lead to another one in 2020, but doesnt automatically guarantee it. I think thats actually a positive. Although they have recently been linked to prized free agent Manny Machado, the San Diego Padrescontinue to exploreall of their options at the hot corner.Jon Heyman of Fancred reported Tuesday that San Diego is also interested in Mike Moustakas. Heyman notes that Padres first baseman Eric Hosmer, who was teammates with Moustakas in Kansas City from 2011 to 2017, highly recommended the free agent to his organization.The second overall pick in 2007, Moustakas spent the first decade-plus of his career with the Royals organization. He played seven-plus seasons in a Kansas City uniform after debuting in 2011, earning two All-Star selections in the process.Moustakas was one of many free agents who had a tough time finding a home last offseason. Afterturning downKansas City's qualifying offer (one year, $17.4 million), he had to settle for aone-year, $5.5 million dealwith the Royals, a contract that included a $15 million mutual option for 2019.The 30-year-olddeclinedhis part of the mutual option in October to become a free agent.Moustakas is coming off a season in which he hit .251/.315/.459 with 28 home runs, 33 doubles and 95 RBI while splitting time between the Royals and the Milwaukee Brewers. He hit .200 with zero home runs, two doubles and three RBI in 10 postseason games for Milwaukee.While his Brewers were ultimately defeated by Machado's Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League Championship Series last year, Moustakas, along with Hosmer, was a member of Kansas City's 2015 World Series championship squad.The Athletic'sDennis Linreported Saturday that the Padres were looking to meet with Machado as the free-agent remains unsigned. While the four-time All-Star provides value both at the plate and in the field (two-time Gold Glover at third), Machado is expected to become one of the highest-paid players in MLB history鈥攚hether it be by overall contract value or by average annual value.If the Padres aren't willing to meet Machado's asking price, Moustakas would provide an impact bat at a lesser price.